Those are the findings from three polls in the federal ridings of Beauce and Burnaby South and the provincial riding of Nanaimo.
Among decided and leaning voters, Sheila Malcolmson of the NDP has 39.8%, while Tony Harris of the BC Liberals has 38.2%.
In Beauce, recently nominated candidate Richard Lehoux of the Conservatives has 37.9% support, while Bernier has 34.7% support among decided and leaning voters.
“Bernier narrows the gap when we ask Beauce residents which candidates they would vote for,” said Maggi. “But there is no mistake that Bernier would be in trouble if the election were held today”.
Finally, 35.9% of decided and leaning voters in Burnaby South said that they would vote Liberal in the upcoming by-election, while 29.3% said that they would vote Conservative and 27.2% said that they would vote NDP.
“Given these numbers, it is surprising to see the NDP clamour for a by-election”, said Maggi.
The sample sizes and margins of error, in all cases, accurate 19 times out of 20, for each survey are as follows: Beauce: n=616, +/- 3.95%, Burnaby South: n=366, +/- 5.12%, Nanaimo: n=594, +/- 4.02%.